In theory, Nurnberg look an ideal match-up for Lucien Favre’s men. Bottom of the Bundesliga with the joint-worst home record in the division, the hosts have also scored the fewest goals of anyone in the German top tier.
Dortmund, for their part, boast the most potent attack and the goals markets certainly appear to offer more value than the match odds at the current prices available with 888Sport.
The online firm expect a relatively high-scoring match, going 4/6 (1.67) about three or more goals being scored at the Max-Morlock-Stadion. The best bet though, appears to be the 9/10 (1.90) on over 1.5 second half goals in Nurnberg.
The home side have been able to keep things relatively tight in the initial stages of their matches this term. Having scored five times and conceded 19 in the first 45 minutes of matches so far they’ve gone on to see 39 goals after the interval – 12 scored and 29 conceded.
Dortmund have done their best work late on in games too, netting 33 times compared to 21 before the break. In the reverse fixture between the teams, Favre’s men were 2-0 up at the break before running riot in the second half, scoring five times and cruising to a 7-0 victory.
In front of their own fans, Nurnberg’s statistics in this area are even more pronounced. Schommer’s side have conceded just four times before half-time and netted on three occasions themselves. 45 per cent of their league games at this ground have been goalless at the break.
Compare that with the eight goals the hosts have scored plus the 11 conceded in the second 45 minutes of matches at this venue and late goals look a tasty betting proposition once more.
The 9/10 (1.90) on offer from 888Sport about this game seeing at least two second half goals certainly makes plenty of appeal.